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Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya

Cross-platform snapshot for "Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $709K Closes: 16 Sept 2026
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Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 21.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya0%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 Winner0%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 Winner0%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 22.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 23.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to phan thiet 3: maximus jones vs hiroki moriya. This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jone…

Methodology

This page compares Phan Thiet 3: Maximus Jones vs Hiroki Moriya specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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