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Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Which venue prices "Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 Winner 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $249K Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 Winner100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov84%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Match O/U 21.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Match O/U 22.575%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 2 Winner0%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino'…

Methodology

This page compares Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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