Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Max Hans Rehberg in the Braunschweig, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' i…
Methodology
This page compares Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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