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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Which venue prices "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $937K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of mubadala citi dc open: terence atmane vs alejandro tabilo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We read Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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