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Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon

Cross-platform snapshot for "Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 Winner 100% Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $232K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 Winner100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 21.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 22.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 23.5100%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon0%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner0%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of swedish open: facundo acosta vs lautaro midon. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Lautaro Midon in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page compares Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midon specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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