Morocco vs. Haiti - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti kicks off at 22:00 local time on 24 June 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, with the first 45 minutes of play plus stoppage time determining the halftime result. Current crowd-implied probability on Polymarket sits at 13% for a Morocco win at halftime, translating to decimal odds of roughly 7.69, whereas traditional books like FanDuel and Covers list Morocco’s full-moneyline odds at -488 (decimal 1.20) and draw odds at +733 (decimal 8.33), creating a notable divergence in perceived risk between implied probability markets and decimal odds books.

Historically, Morocco have not trailed at halftime since their last defeat, boasting 17 halftime wins and 14 draws in that span, while Haiti were kept scoreless in four of their five most recent losses, suggesting a low-scoring first half is more likely than a Moroccan blowout. This pattern frames the 13% YES probability as an outlier compared to traditional book consensus, where the draw is priced at +733 and Morocco’s full-game win at -488, indicating that platforms like Kalshi and Betfair may weight the draw outcome more heavily than Polymarket’s current crowd-implied probability.

Traders should monitor the official line-up announcements released by FIFA shortly before kick-off, as Morocco’s attacking depth and Haiti’s defensive fragility remain key dependencies for first-half scoring, with recent coverage from Yahoo Sports confirming Haiti’s need to lose by less than three goals or win outright to avoid a heavy deficit. Fee structures also diverge significantly: Polymarket charges no platform fees but imposes gas costs, while Kalshi and Smarkets apply explicit trading fees and require KYC verification, potentially affecting liquidity and the speed of probability adjustments on this specific market.

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Methodology

This page compares Morocco vs. Haiti - Halftime Result specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative?

Zero. Polymarket Alternative routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Alternative triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.