Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 23 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET in Guadalajara, Colombia faces DR Congo in a FIFA World Cup Group K match, with the market offering 9% YES for an exact score outcome. Historical precedent heavily frames this probability: Colombia has won all three prior World Cup games against African nations by a single goal (1-0 vs Tunisia in 1990, 2-1 vs Ivory Coast in 2014, and 1-0 vs Algeria in 2018), suggesting tight margins are typical[1]. The current 9% implied probability aligns with these narrow victories, though platforms diverge on interpretation; Polymarket displays decimal odds while Kalshi emphasises implied probability, and Betfair’s fee structure differs significantly from Smarkets’ zero-fee model, affecting the effective payout for this specific exact score bet.

Traders must monitor Juan Camilo Hernandez and Cedric Bakambu’s pre-match fitness, as their Real Betis partnership adds tactical unpredictability[7]. Recent training footage confirms Colombia’s squad is fully prepared ahead of kick-off[5], but any late lineup changes could shift the exact score probability. The combined final score is set at 2.5 goals across major books[2], with Colombia favoured at -205 odds[3]. For platform comparison, Kalshi requires KYC for all users while Polymarket permits anonymous trading, and Betfair’s liquidity often exceeds Smarkets for niche exact score markets, creating divergent price discovery for this 9% outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Alternative is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative?

Zero. Polymarket Alternative routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.