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Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 91% Argentina O/U 0.5 81% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 75% Team to Advance 74% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $3.5M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
Argentina O/U 0.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.575%
Team to Advance74%
O/U 1.569%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.559%
Switzerland O/U 0.555%
Argentina O/U 1.548%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.548%
Both Teams to Score47%
O/U 2.543%
2nd Half O/U 1.541%
Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.537%
Argentina (-1.5)30%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?28%
1st Half O/U 1.527%
Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.526%
Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.525%
Argentina O/U 2.523%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half23%
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.523%
O/U 3.522%
Switzerland O/U 1.520%
2nd Half O/U 2.518%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?15%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Argentina (-2.5)13%
O/U 4.510%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Switzerland O/U 2.56%
Switzerland (-1.5)5%
Argentina (-3.5)5%
Argentina (-4.5)5%
Argentina (-5.5)5%
O/U 5.54%
Switzerland (-5.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Switzerland (-2.5)1%
Switzerland (-4.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Switzerland (-3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to argentina vs. switzerland - more markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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