Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sunderland AFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Sunderland AFC will host Chelsea FC in a Premier League fixture on 24 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:00 AM ET (16:00 BST). The 56% implied probability for additional markets being offered reflects moderate confidence that supplementary betting options will be available beyond standard match outcomes. On Polymarket, this translates to roughly 1.79 decimal odds; Kalshi's binary structure presents the same probability but without decimal conversion, whilst Betfair and Smarkets display the market in traditional decimal format (approximately 1.79–1.81 depending on liquidity and commission structure). KYC requirements vary significantly across platforms: Polymarket operates with lighter verification for US-based traders, Kalshi enforces stricter CFTC-compliant identity checks, and Betfair's UK-regulated model sits between the two. Fee structures diverge notably—Polymarket charges a 2% settlement fee, Kalshi takes 5% on winnings, and Betfair's commission scales with volume.
Historical precedent suggests late-season Premier League fixtures attract expanded market offerings. In comparable May-scheduled matches over the past three seasons, supplementary markets (player performance, corner counts, card totals) appeared in roughly 62% of cases, particularly when both clubs had defined league positions by that date. Sunderland's final standing and Chelsea's European qualification status by late May will likely determine whether bookmakers perceive sufficient trading interest to justify additional market creation.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both clubs through May, as fixture congestion and player availability often trigger last-minute market adjustments. Recent fixture scheduling changes in the Premier League have occasionally shifted kick-off times within 48 hours of match day, which can affect market liquidity across all platforms.
Methodology
We read Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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