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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $371K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-6.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MAG (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-9.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: metanoia wolves vs magicos (bo3) - cct south america series 3 group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between METANOIA WOLVES and MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 3:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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