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Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MOUZ (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MOUZ (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 10% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) 10% Volume: $623K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MOUZ (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Match Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Lynn Vision (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: lynn vision vs mouz (bo1) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Lynn Vision and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 12 at 12:5…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MOUZ (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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