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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Winner 100% Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) 100% Volume: $156K Liquidity: $414K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Winner100%
Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-12.5) vs NEW VISION (+12.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Lilmix (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Lilmix and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 7:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

We read Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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