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Virginia vs. Florida State

Cross-platform snapshot for "Virginia vs. Florida State": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $415K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Virginia vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
Florida State O/U 23.5100%
Florida State O/U 26.5100%
Florida State O/U 29.5100%
Florida State O/U 32.5100%
Florida State O/U 35.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Florida State 2H O/U 12.5100%
Florida State 2H O/U 14.5100%
Florida State 2H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5100%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
Florida State O/U 3.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Florida State O/U 2.5100%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Virginia vs. Florida State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Virginia O/U 20.50%
Virginia O/U 23.50%
Virginia O/U 26.50%
Virginia O/U 29.50%
Virginia O/U 32.50%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.50%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.50%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.50%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.50%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.50%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Virginia vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Virginia O/U 3.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to virginia vs. florida state. In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and Florida State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolv…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Virginia vs. Florida State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $415K.

Methodology

This page compares Virginia vs. Florida State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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