Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| USC O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| USC 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| O/U 55.5 | 88% |
| Spread -0.5 | 87% |
| USC vs. Penn State | 81% |
| O/U 59.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 57.5 | 80% |
| O/U 53.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| Penn State O/U 23.5 | 71% |
| O/U 51.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 63% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| O/U 61.5 | 61% |
| Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| O/U 63.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| USC O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| USC O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| USC O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| USC 2H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| USC 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| USC O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| USC 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| USC O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Penn State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 65.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 67.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 69.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| O/U 71.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| O/U 73.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Spread -2.5 | 13% |
| O/U 75.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -8.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, usc vs. penn state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $624K.
Methodology
We read USC vs. Penn State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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