Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| O/U 39.5 | 95% |
| O/U 41.5 | 94% |
| O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| O/U 45.5 | 90% |
| O/U 47.5 | 89% |
| South Alabama O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| O/U 49.5 | 87% |
| South Alabama O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| O/U 51.5 | 80% |
| O/U 53.5 | 79% |
| Marshall O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| O/U 57.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 59.5 | 64% |
| O/U 61.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| South Alabama O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| Marshall O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall | 56% |
| O/U 63.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 56% |
| Marshall O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Marshall O/U 35.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 65.5 | 55% |
| South Alabama O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Marshall O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| O/U 67.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 69.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| O/U 71.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 73.5 | 32% |
| O/U 75.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of south alabama vs. marshall. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between South Alabama and Marshall, scheduled for October 20 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Alabama" if South Alabama win th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $165K.
Methodology
We read South Alabama vs. Marshall from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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