Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 99% |
| Houston O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| Houston O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Houston O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| Houston O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Houston O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Conner Weigman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Amare Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Re'Shaun Sanford II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trent Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Patrick Overmyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Muizz Tounkara: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harvey Broussard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke McGary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyson Turner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Spread: Houston (-20.5) | 47% |
| Spread -27.5 | 47% |
| O/U 66.5 | 44% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Spread -24.5 | 38% |
| Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| Spread -31.5 | 20% |
| Spread -34.5 | 14% |
| Oregon State vs. Houston | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
Oregon State vs. Houston. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 1% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
We read Oregon State vs. Houston from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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