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Ohio State vs. Texas

Which venue prices "Ohio State vs. Texas" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 91% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.591%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.582%
2Q O/U 7.577%
O/U 38.576%
Texas O/U 18.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Ohio State O/U 17.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
Texas O/U 2.572%
4Q O/U 7.569%
2H Moneyline67%
2Q Moneyline67%
3Q Moneyline67%
4Q Moneyline67%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
2Q O/U 10.564%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 21.563%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
Texas O/U 22.561%
O/U 46.560%
3Q O/U 12.559%
O/U 47.558%
Ohio State O/U 2.557%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
O/U 48.555%
4Q O/U 10.555%
1Q O/U 7.554%
2Q O/U 13.554%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
4Q Spread -3.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
Texas 1H O/U 15.549%
Texas O/U 25.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
4Q O/U 16.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
1Q Moneyline48%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
4Q O/U 19.546%
2Q Spread -2.545%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
O/U 52.544%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
4Q Spread -2.544%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
1Q Spread -2.543%
3Q Spread -2.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -3.543%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
Spread -3.541%
3Q Spread -0.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
1Q O/U 10.541%
2Q O/U 16.541%
O/U 54.540%
3Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
Ohio State O/U 27.539%
1Q Spread -3.539%
1H Spread -3.538%
1H O/U 27.538%
2Q Spread -2.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
1Q O/U 13.537%
Spread -4.536%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
4Q Spread -2.536%
O/U 56.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
1H Spread -3.535%
1Q Spread -2.534%
2Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -6.533%
Texas O/U 30.532%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
Ohio State O/U 3.532%
Spread -5.532%
2Q Spread -3.532%
3Q Spread -3.532%
Spread -4.531%
O/U 58.530%
Spread -6.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
2Q O/U 19.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
3Q Spread -3.528%
Spread -7.527%
1H O/U 30.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.525%
1Q O/U 16.524%
Spread -8.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
Spread -8.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -12.518%
Spread -13.517%
Spread -27.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 66.516%
Spread -11.516%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -24.513%
Spread -15.513%
Spread -14.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -34.510%
Spread -15.510%
Spread -18.59%
Spread -31.57%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -19.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

Ohio State vs. Texas. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 47% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-12T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

We read Ohio State vs. Texas from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports