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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

Which venue prices "Notre Dame vs. North Carolina" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 100% Spread -10.5 100% Spread -8.5 100% Spread -7.5 100% Volume: $480K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
1Q O/U 19.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 20.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 26.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 29.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 32.5100%
North Carolina O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 11.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Notre Dame O/U 4.5100%
North Carolina O/U 1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
North Carolina O/U 26.50%
North Carolina O/U 29.50%
North Carolina O/U 32.50%
North Carolina O/U 35.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 16.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 12.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 16.50%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Spread -42.50%
Spread -39.50%
Spread -38.50%
Spread -36.50%
Spread -35.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -11.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. This market will…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 100% for "Notre Dame vs. North Carolina".

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $480K.

Methodology

This page compares Notre Dame vs. North Carolina specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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