Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread: Virginia (-5.5) | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| O/U 33.5 | 85% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| Spread -14.5 | 69% |
| Spread -16.5 | 68% |
| O/U 39.5 | 65% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| Spread -24.5 | 37% |
| O/U 69.5 | 33% |
| O/U 51.5 | 21% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| North Carolina State vs. Virginia | 6% |
Market context
North Carolina State vs. Virginia. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 8% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-29T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $236K.
Methodology
We read North Carolina State vs. Virginia from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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