Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| NC State O/U 20.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| NC State O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| NC State vs. Stanford | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 47.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 67% |
| 1H Moneyline | 67% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Stanford O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Stanford O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| NC State O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| NC State O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Stanford O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Stanford O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Stanford O/U 32.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| O/U 67.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Stanford O/U 35.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 71.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| O/U 73.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 91% chance of nc state vs. stanford. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between NC State and Stanford, scheduled for October 23 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $136K.
Methodology
This page compares NC State vs. Stanford specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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