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Baylor vs. Arizona State

Cross-platform snapshot for "Baylor vs. Arizona State": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Baylor vs. Arizona State 100% Spread -20.5 100% Spread -17.5 100% Spread -16.5 100% Volume: $658K Liquidity: $5K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Baylor vs. Arizona State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Baylor vs. Arizona State100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
O/U 63.5100%
O/U 65.5100%
O/U 67.5100%
O/U 69.5100%
O/U 71.5100%
O/U 73.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
2H O/U 30.5100%
2H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 19.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
Baylor O/U 20.5100%
Baylor O/U 23.5100%
Baylor O/U 26.5100%
Baylor O/U 29.5100%
Baylor O/U 32.5100%
Baylor 1H O/U 11.5100%
Baylor 1H O/U 13.5100%
Baylor 1H O/U 15.5100%
Arizona State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Baylor 2H O/U 11.5100%
Baylor 2H O/U 13.5100%
Baylor 2H O/U 15.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.591%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.591%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.591%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.591%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.591%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.591%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.591%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.591%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.591%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown51%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Arizona State O/U 3.550%
Baylor O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 75.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Arizona State O/U 23.50%
Arizona State O/U 26.50%
Arizona State O/U 29.50%
Arizona State O/U 32.50%
Arizona State O/U 35.50%
Arizona State 1H O/U 14.50%
Arizona State 1H O/U 16.50%
Arizona State 2H O/U 12.50%
Arizona State 2H O/U 14.50%
Arizona State 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -0.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of baylor vs. arizona state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Baylor vs. Arizona State at 100% for "Baylor vs. Arizona State".

Baylor vs. Arizona State 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $658K.

Methodology

We read Baylor vs. Arizona State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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