Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| Ball State O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| Bowling Green O/U 26.5 | 56% |
| Ball State O/U 20.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Bowling Green O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 65.5 | 46% |
| O/U 67.5 | 46% |
| O/U 63.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of ball state vs. bowling green. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Bowling Green, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.
Methodology
We read Ball State vs. Bowling Green from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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