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Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Cross-platform snapshot for "Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend 100% Completed Match 100% Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner 100% Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $397K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend100%
Completed Match100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 21.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 22.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 23.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 Winner0%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend. This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yut…

Methodology

This page compares Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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