Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Alternative Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Alternative.
Active sub-markets
| HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov | 0% Jack Pinnington Jones | 100% Denis Shapovalov |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner | 100% Jones | 0% Shapovalov |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hsbc championships: jack pinnington jones vs denis shapovalov stands at 0% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Pinnington Jones and Denis Shapovalov in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $570K.
Methodology
This page compares HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Alternative is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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