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National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet 73% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner 70% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner 69% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5 63% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet73%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner70%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner69%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.563%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.552%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.549%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.549%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.549%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 23.549%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.548%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.545%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.542%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.536%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.533%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.514%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet. This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Corentin Moutet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael J…

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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