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Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek

Which venue prices "Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $116K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek0%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 1 Winner0%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 2 Winner0%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Match O/U 21.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Match O/U 22.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Match O/U 23.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, plovdiv 4: felix gill vs jonas forejtek stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Jonas Forejtek in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We read Plovdiv 4: Felix Gill vs Jonas Forejtek from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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