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San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout

Which venue prices "San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $271K Liquidity: $61K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 21.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 22.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Match O/U 23.5100%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout91%
Completed Match50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Game Spread +/-0.550%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 2 Winner0%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 8.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 9.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set 1 O/U 10.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, san diego 2: tristan boyer vs timo legout stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Timo Legout in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page compares San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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