🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Cross-platform snapshot for "US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $331K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Game Spread +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: alex bolt vs pablo llamas ruiz. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page compares US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llama… on Polymarket Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets