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Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 1 O/U 8.5 82% Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Match O/U 21.5 57% Completed Match 50% Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $415K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 1 O/U 8.582%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Match O/U 21.557%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Match O/U 22.549%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Match O/U 23.542%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 1 Winner38%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 2 Winner38%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Total Sets: O/U 2.537%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper32%
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper Set Handicap +/-1.519%

Market context

Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper — current market-implied probability: 82%. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Jack Draper in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane'…

Methodology

This page compares Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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