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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Cross-platform snapshot for "PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Scottie Scheffler 63% Steven Fisk 12% Viktor Hovland 8% Ludvig Aberg 6% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler63%
Steven Fisk12%
Viktor Hovland8%
Ludvig Aberg6%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Sung-Jae Im4%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Brian Harman2%
Jordan Spieth2%
Cameron Young2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Sam Burns1%
Ricky Castillo1%
Bud Cauley1%
Wyndham Clark1%
Eric Cole1%
Corey Conners1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Harris English1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Chris Gotterup1%
Ben Griffin1%
Harry Hall1%
Russell Henley1%
Ryo Hisatsune1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Max Homa1%
Michael Kim1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Shane Lowry1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Matt McCarty1%
Rory McIlroy1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Keith Mitchell1%
Collin Morikawa1%
Alexander Noren1%
JT Poston1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Justin Rose1%
Xander Schauffele1%
Matthias Schmid1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Sam Stevens1%
Sepp Straka1%
Nick Taylor1%
Sahith Theegala1%
Justin Thomas1%
Michael Thorbjornsen1%
Gary Woodland1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju1%
Pierceson Coody0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Player 00%
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Player 20%
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Player 40%
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Player 70%
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Player 150%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner — current market-implied probability: 63%. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship …

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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