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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Cross-platform snapshot for "PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Scottie Scheffler 81% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 44% Sung-Jae Im 31% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $660K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler81%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama44%
Sung-Jae Im31%
Jake Knapp29%
Maverick McNealy25%
Tom Kim25%
Hideki Matsuyama24%
Sam Stevens23%
Michael Brennan23%
Tony Finau22%
Lucas Glover21%
Jackson Koivun20%
Corey Conners19%
Keith Mitchell18%
Jordan L. Smith18%
Benjamin James18%
Mac Meissner18%
Pierceson Coody17%
Jackson Suber17%
Max Homa17%
Doug Ghim17%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout17%
Brian Harman17%
Ben Kohles17%
Taylor Moore17%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen16%
Casey Jarvis16%
Max McGreevy16%
Johnny Keefer15%
Davis Thompson15%
Gary Woodland14%
Michael Kim14%
Ricky Castillo14%
Beau Hossler14%
Andrew Putnam14%
Zach Bauchou14%
Denny McCarthy14%
Zac Blair14%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju13%
Max Greyserman13%
Taylor Pendrith13%
Mackenzie Hughes13%
John Parry13%
Rico Hoey13%
Keita Nakajima13%
Takumi Kanaya13%
William Mouw12%
Aldrich Potgieter12%
Kevin Yu12%
Steven Fisk12%
Emiliano Grillo12%
Lee Hodges12%
Seamus Power12%
Kristoffer Ventura12%
Joel Dahmen12%
Jesper Svensson11%
Austin Smotherman11%
Tom Hoge11%
Kevin Roy11%
Brandt Snedeker11%
Stephan Jaeger10%
Preston Stout10%
Hao-Tong Li10%
Thorbjorn Olesen10%
Billy Horschel10%
Ze-Cheng Dou10%
Matt Kuchar10%
Chris Kirk10%
Austin Eckroat10%
Patrick Rodgers9%
Patrick Fishburn9%
A.J. Ewart9%
Garrick Higgo9%
Chad Ramey9%
David Lipsky9%
Chandler Phillips9%
Matthieu Pavon8%
Nick Dunlap8%
Karl Vilips8%
Neal Shipley8%
David Skinns8%
Aaron Wise8%
Lanto Griffin8%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart7%
Erik Van Rooyen7%
Luke Clanton7%
Trace Crowe7%
Mark Hubbard7%
Adam Hadwin7%
Ryder Cowan6%
Pontus Nyholm6%
Hayden Springer6%
Harry Higgs6%
Cameron Champ6%
Vince Whaley6%
Gordon Sargent5%
Jimmy Stanger5%
Luke List4%
Jason Day0%

Market context

The PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 prediction market currently prices this outcome at 81% YES. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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