Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast’s latest upload is being measured by how many views it has accumulated in its first 144 hours, with the market settling to the relevant bracket once that full window closes. The crowd has it at 0% for YES, but that should be read against the bracket structure rather than as a literal claim of zero views. On Polymarket, the line is priced directly as a probability; on Kalshi and Smarkets you would instead see a contract or decimal-odds style quote, with fees and access rules changing the effective price. Betfair’s commission model can also make the same view count imply a different breakeven than a Polymarket share, while KYC and regional availability remain more restrictive on some rivals.
For context, MrBeast’s recent videos have remained in the tens of millions within days, which is why bracket markets on his uploads can move sharply around early performance. Polymarket’s own day-6 market has already concentrated around the 50.5–51.0 million range, while a separate Lines market on a day-1 bracket for the next video was still showing interest around the 30–35 million band. SocialBlade and Viewstats both show the channel’s scale remains exceptional, so the key question is not whether the video will draw large traffic, but whether it lands above or below the specific bracket line as the 144-hour window matures.
Traders should watch the upload timing, whether the video title and thumbnail are changed, and any social push from MrBeast’s other channels or collaborators, as those can alter the first-day and first-week click trajectory. The specific video title matters because recommendation performance can change if the topic is broad, challenge-based, or part of a series. YouTube’s own counter on the MrBeast channel is the settlement source, so any platform-side lag or late adjustment to the visible view count can matter close to expiry. On alternative books, wider market access and different fee structures may make it easier to trade the same view range, but the actual resolution standard remains the same count from the channel page.
Methodology
This page compares # of views of MrBeast video day 6? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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