Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Lee Jin-sook | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Yoon Jae-ok | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kang Min-gu | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Hong Seok-jun | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Choo Kyung-ho | 83% YES | 17% NO |
| Seo Jae-heon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Daegu votes for its next mayor on 3 June, and the current 0% YES price implies the market is treating a PPP win as overwhelmingly likely. That is consistent with Daegu’s recent voting record: the city has been a strong conservative stronghold, and the People Power Party won the mayoralty in the last local cycle. For comparison, Kalshi prices this as a straight yes/no contract, so a zero-cent market can look more absolute than a bookmaker’s decimal quote, while Polymarket and other crypto venues may show small residual prices even when a result is heavily favoured. On a platform-comparison basis, the main practical differences are fee structure, KYC access and whether a user sees a binary share price or an odds-style contract.
The most recent catalyst is party selection rather than the general vote itself. Chosun reported on 26 April that the PPP nominated Choo Kyung-ho, a former senior lawmaker from Daegu Dalseong, as its candidate for Daegu mayor, while the Korea Times noted on 10 April that the DPK was still lagging in nominations for the city. That makes the key watchpoints the final candidate lists, any late independent or opposition consolidation, and whether polling narrows enough to move a market that is currently priced at the floor. Traders also need to watch for any dispute over the official result window, but the contract resolves on the elected winner as confirmed by credible reporting or, if needed, the National Election Commission.
Methodology
We read Daegu Mayoral Election Winner from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Daegu Mayoral Election Winner on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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