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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 76% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Match Winner 57% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.576%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner57%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)43%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)42%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)30%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.528%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of valorant: onside gaming vs team secret (bo3) - vct pacific play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between ONSIDE GAMING and Team Secret in the VCT Pacific Play-In, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM …

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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