Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Match Winner | 81% YES | 20% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Leviatán Esports and G2 Esports will contest the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs grand final in a best-of-five Valorant match scheduled for 24 May at 22:00 UTC. The winner claims the regional title and qualification points toward international competition. Both organisations have invested heavily in their rosters; Leviatán fields a Latin American core with international experience, whilst G2 operates a multinational squad anchored by European talent. The 50-50 crowd probability reflects genuine uncertainty, though historical precedent suggests slight favouritism typically accrues to teams with deeper playoff experience in franchise-era VCT.
G2 reached this final through consistent domestic performance and have competed in multiple international events, providing familiarity with high-pressure formats. Leviatán's path emphasises regional dominance but with fewer international LAN appearances. Comparable VCT Americas finals have often favoured teams with established international credentials, though upsets remain common when regional challengers execute disciplined fundamentals. The current even split across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Betfair reflects this balance; decimal odds hover near 2.0 on both sides, with implied probabilities converging at 50% across platforms despite minor fee structure differences (Polymarket's 2% settlement fee versus Betfair's commission model).
Traders should monitor roster changes or injury announcements through 23 May, though both teams have confirmed lineups. Broadcast delays or technical issues could trigger the 7-day cancellation clause, though VCT Americas maintains reliable scheduling. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 48 hours before match time via official VCT channels and team social media. The settlement window extends to 25 May 03:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer for result confirmation and platform reconciliation.
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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