Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: VKS (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in a lower-bracket round-one match of the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs, scheduled for 23 May at 12:00 PM ET. The best-of-five format means the first team to three wins advances; elimination is immediate for the loser. This fixture sits at the intersection of two mid-tier Brazilian organisations competing for playoff survival, with seeding and regular-season performance determining entry point into the bracket structure.
Historical precedent in CBLOL lower-bracket matchups shows volatile outcomes when teams of comparable strength meet under elimination pressure. Vivo Keyd Stars and LOS have traded results across regular seasons, making head-to-head records unreliable predictors in single-elimination contexts. Comparable BO5 reversals in regional leagues—where the higher-seeded team loses—occur in roughly 20–30% of cases when skill gaps are marginal. The 0% implied probability currently displayed across major platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) suggests either extreme confidence in one team or minimal liquidity; Betfair's decimal-odds format and Smarkets' commission structure may display this differently, but the underlying probability assessment remains aligned.
Traders should monitor roster changes, recent scrim results, and any last-minute schedule shifts before the settlement window closes on 23 May at 22:00 UTC. CBLOL matches occasionally face technical delays or postponement; the market's 7-day grace period and 50-50 tie resolution rule create edge cases worth tracking. Confirmation of both teams' final rosters and coaching staff availability typically emerges 48 hours before match time through official CBLOL announcements and team social channels.
Methodology
We read LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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