Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
NRG Esports face CCG Esports in the upper bracket semifinal of the North American Challengers League playoffs, a best-of-three series scheduled for 22 May at 4:00 PM ET. The Challengers League sits below the LEC in competitive hierarchy, serving as the primary development pathway for North American League of Legends talent. NRG enters as the favoured side based on roster construction and recent regular-season performance, though CCG's qualification to this stage indicates competitive capability within the regional tier.
The 0% implied probability across major platforms reflects either a technical settlement issue or extreme confidence in NRG's superiority. Historical Challengers League upsets remain uncommon but not unprecedented; teams with stronger individual players have occasionally faltered against coordinated rosters. Polymarket's current odds diverge notably from Kalshi's decimal format on comparable esports matchups, with Kalshi typically offering tighter spreads on regional tournaments due to lower liquidity. Betfair and Smarkets show similar patterns, though their KYC requirements differ—Smarkets accepts a broader geographic reach than Kalshi in this category, potentially affecting available liquidity pools.
Traders should monitor official LCS and Challengers League announcements for roster changes, player substitutions, or scheduling delays that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability and meta shifts warrant attention, as Challengers teams often respond differently to balance changes than established LEC rosters. The settlement window closes 23 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches before automatic resolution.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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