Bitcoin price on June 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the final closing price of the one-minute Binance candle for BTC/USDT at noon Eastern Time on 23 June 2026, a specific timestamp that determines whether the market resolves to "Yes" or "No". Current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for "Yes", suggesting traders believe the price will fall outside the defined range bracket, though the exact threshold remains unspoken in the market description.

Historical data frames this near-zero probability against recent volatility; on 12 June 2026, Bitcoin traded at $63,359.71, while the 22 June close was $64,005.00, with a 52-week range spanning $59,159.30 to $126,186.00[2][4]. Platforms diverge sharply here: Polymarket displays implied probability (0%), whereas Kalshi and Betfair offer decimal odds, and fee structures vary from Polymarket’s 0% maker fee to Smarkets’ tiered commission, influencing liquidity depth for such binary outcomes.

Traders must monitor the Federal Reserve’s interest rate schedule and any upcoming US Treasury debt auctions, as these macro dependencies often trigger sharp intraday swings in crypto assets[5]. Recent Binance price predictions suggest a modest 5% weekly increase, potentially reaching $64,170.11, yet technical indicators remain sensitive to regulatory announcements[5]. Unlike Kalshi’s strict KYC requirements, Polymarket allows broader access, while Betfair’s liquidity pools may react faster to news than Polymarket’s order book, creating arbitrage opportunities for those watching the noon ET candle closely.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Bitcoin price on June 23? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Alternative is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.