About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
How Does Polymarket Work? Complete Beginner's Guide
1 April 2026how does Polymarket work
Is Polymarket Legal? Country-by-Country Guide 2025
1 April 2026is Polymarket legal
Best Prediction Markets in 2026: Platform Comparison
28 April 2026best prediction markets 2026
Election Prediction Markets: How They Work in 2026
28 April 2026election prediction markets
Polymarket Fees: Complete Breakdown for 2026
1 May 2026Polymarket fees
Hedging Strategies Using Prediction Markets
1 May 2026hedging with prediction markets
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Crypto Futures vs Prediction Markets: Key Differences
1 May 2026crypto futures vs prediction markets
How Prediction Markets Resolve: Settlement Explained
1 May 2026prediction market resolution
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Best Prediction Market Platforms in 2026: Ranked and Reviewed
1 May 2026best prediction markets 2026
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
How to Make Money with Prediction Markets in 2026: A Realistic Guide
1 May 2026how to make money prediction markets
Manifold Markets Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Offers Real Money Trading
1 May 2026manifold markets alternative
NBA 2026 Finals Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
1 May 2026NBA prediction markets 2026
Trump 2028 Prediction Market: Why He Can't Run & What Markets Are Active
1 May 2026trump 2028 prediction market
Information Markets vs Prediction Markets: How Forecasting Aggregates Knowledge
1 May 2026information markets prediction markets
NBA Championship Odds 2026: Which Teams Are Prediction Markets Backing?
1 May 2026NBA championship odds 2026
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
Prediction Market Tax Guide 2026: US, UK, Germany & Global Overview
1 May 2026prediction market tax guide 2026
Formula 1 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds, Race Winners & Constructor Title
2 May 2026formula 1 prediction market 2026
10 Prediction Market Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)
2 May 2026prediction market beginner mistakes
Inflation Prediction Markets 2026: CPI, PCE & Fed Target Markets
2 May 2026inflation prediction market 2026
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Oscars 2027 Prediction Markets: Best Picture, Director & Actor Odds
2 May 2026Oscars prediction market 2027
Solana Prediction Markets 2026: SOL Price, ETF Odds & Ecosystem Milestones
2 May 2026solana prediction market 2026
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Stock Market Prediction Markets 2026: S&P 500, NASDAQ & Dow Jones Odds
2 May 2026stock market prediction market 2026
How to Login to Polymarket in 2026: PolyGram as the Easiest Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket login
Climate & Environment Prediction Markets 2026: CO2, Temperature & Policy Odds
2 May 2026climate prediction market 2026
The Prediction Market Weekly Routine: How Profitable Traders Spend 5 Hours/Week
2 May 2026prediction market weekly routine
Polymarket Tutorial 2026: Step-by-Step Guide for Complete Beginners
2 May 2026polymarket tutorial 2026
Prediction Market Community 2026: Telegram Groups, Discord & Learning Resources
2 May 2026prediction market community 2026
Best News Sources for Prediction Market Traders: Information Edge Guide
2 May 2026prediction market news sources
Sports Trading vs Prediction Markets: Which Is Better for Professional Traders?
2 May 2026sports trading vs prediction markets
Polymarket vs Betfair 2026: Which Exchange Is Better for Sports Traders?
2 May 2026polymarket vs betfair
What Is a Prediction Market? Visual Guide with Real Examples
2 May 2026what is a prediction market explained
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026